Monday, April 18, 2011

Prospect Watch: Beloit

BELOIT


10. Oswaldo Arcia
.353/.439/.618--It's like he hasn't missed a beat from his phenomenal season at ELZ last year.  One homer and 6/9 K/BB rate so far.  He turns 20 soon and maybe the Twins organization will relax their slightly-too-cautious approach and maybe he'll be in Fort Myers by July.

12. Adrian Salcedo
10 2/3 IP, 4.22 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 12/5 K/BB.  Struck out 10 in his first start, but struggled in his second. Has given up two long balls.  Also turning 20 soon. No need to rush him yet, but the ceiling is very high.

16. Manuel Soliman
5 IP, 0.00 ERA, 0.60 WHIP, 8/2 K/BB.  In one start and one relief outing, he has been dominant. He turns 22 in August.  I expect that he will be in Fort Myers at that time.

18. B.J. Hermsen
11 1/3 IP 1.59 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 3/2 K/BB. Not overpowering, but effective.  Has given up 16 hits, which means he would fit right in with the Twins right now.  But he's only 21 1/2 and should expect a cautious approach from the Twins.  Hopefully a mid-season move to Fort Myers as well for him.

21. Daniel Ortiz
.364/.436/.697--total beast to start the season.  Two homers and more walks than strikeouts (a mere 3 in 37 plate appearances) is a great sign.  At age 21 and ranking 21, he could be jumping over some of the OF prospects ahead of him this season.

37. Martire Garcia
6.0 IP, 2.84 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 8/6 K/BB. Walk happy in his first start (5), he has been better out of the bullpen.  Just turned 21 and it will be a wait-and-see season for him.  Left-handedness gives him an advantage over several others, and the Twins may be shuffling pitchers around between Rochester and the Show, so I would think Garcia ends at Fort Myers.

41. Lance Ray
.188/278/.313--has one homer, but is striking out like crazy so far. His 14 whiffs are over 1/3 of last year's total for the whole season.  At 21 1/2, he will need to post an OPS above .800 to move up this year.

43. Andrei Lobanov
8 IP, 3.38 ERA, 1.75 WHIP, 11/2 K/BB. I am higher on this guy than most, but I like what he has done.  Too many hits, but the Ks are impressive.  21 and climbing the ladder this year.

47. Michael Tonkin
5 1/3 IP, 5.06 ERA, 1.88 WHIP, 4/3 K/BB. 21 1/2, but needs to improve and get his ERA under 4.00 to advance.

48. Logan Darnell
11 IP, 4.09 ERA, 0.73 WHIP, 10/1 K/BB. First and second starts were wildly different.  Good that his second start was the great one (8 shutout innings).  At 22, I expect him to move up this year, perhaps two levels.

50. Daniel Santana
.222/.282/.389--He's 20 1/2 and there is no rush.  Solid improvement this year will mean he starts at Fort Myers next year.  K/BB ratio needs to improve dramatically (9/2 this year, after a 70/10 last year)

Others not on the list performing highly at Beloit:
Batters: Josmil Pinto (CATCHER!) and Gunner Glad.
Pitchers: Blayne Weller and Jose Gonzalez (I should have seen this coming).

Fort Myers will be next.

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